Green Tinted Glasses Presents: Atlantic 10 Schedule Breakdown Part II

If you’ve been paying attention, at this point of the Atlantic 10 season, Green Tinted Glasses expects a 4-4 record, if not please refer to Part I.  Now let us continue.

Quarter Three:

Saturday February 5th- vs. George Washington(7-6): After showing some promise last year, by making their first A10 tournament in three years,  the Colonials have taken a step back this season.  Their best game was something the Niners couldn’t do, which was a win at Oregon State.  The Niners loss at Corvallis was when we hit rock bottom, while, unfortunately for George Washington, their win was when they were at their best.  They have an embarrassing 35 point loss at UAB as well as a neutral court loss to Navy in the BB&T Classic.

Wednesday February 9th- Atlantic 10 Bye #2

Saturday February 12th- at Rhode Island(9-5): Normally at this point of the year Rhode Island has only one or two losses against a mediocre schedule with a couple of strong victories.  Then like clockwork the Rams would struggle in Atlantic 10 play, eliminating their NCAA chances and landing in the NIT.  This is not one of those Rhode Island teams, the Rams started the season by nearly knocking off the Pitt Panthers at home, and have actually tested themselves.  They have a questionable losses to Illinois-Chicago on a neutral court(a team that also won at Illinois), at Quinnipiac and a 25-point blowout at Florida(that will leave a sour taste in their mouth).  Wins against Top 100 teams like Drexel, Davidson and Boston College have challenged the Rams so that maybe this time they are prepared for the stretch run in the A10 instead of caught off guard by it.

Saint Louis Head Coach Rick Majerus

Wednesday February 16th- vs. Dayton(12-3): The Flyers did not handle being the Atlantic 10 favorite very will last season, but are doing okay in their underdog roll.  They’ve tallied a lot of wins, most against chumps in front of the GREATEST FANS IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL, with three strong wins, at Mississippi and Seton Hall plus a home win against George Mason.  Dayton got absolutely drilled at Cincinnati and followed that up by a home loss to East Tennessee State, so the jury is still out on the Flyers.  Since they host Temple days before coming to Halton, the 49ers will again have a vulnerable Dayton team to beat up on at home.

Saturday February 19th- at Saint Louis(5-8): Rick Majerus’ squad started the season by giving the boot to two of his most talented players for getting into trouble with the law.  Saint Louis opened the season with a disappointing loss at home to Austin Peay, and since then have lost the games they should have and won the games they should have.  No strong victories and no killer losses(unless by 37 to Duke counts).  The could have trouble getting wins in the A10 with the middle of the conference up combined with travel partners like Xavier and Dayton.  What was supposed to be the Billikens breakthrough year in the Atlantic 10 will become a struggle to finish .500.

First of all, George Washington is terrible, and deservedly so. They’ve lost 3 straight in Halton, and that streak should continue. Rhode Island will be a tough road get for our boys.  We will beat Dayton, because losing in Halton Arena is Dayton’s trademark.   This Saint Louis team is very vulnerable, the players they suspended were team players, just not great citizens. A rare Niner win at Saint Louis is within reach, but history(aka resident downer J Felt) has taught us to assume otherwise. 49erFanatics 3rd-quarter prediction: 2-2

Quarter Four:

George Washington Head Coach Karl Hobbs

Wednesday February 23rd-  at George Washington(7-6): The rematch with George Washington could well be amidst a horrendous losing streak as the Colonials will have just played road games at La Salle and Massachusetts after hosting Richmond and playing at Charlotte.  Luckily for the Colonials, Fordham and  Saint Joseph’s will give them a run for the money as to who sits out the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

Saturday February 26th- vs. Richmond(11-4): Our home game with the Spiders will be with a team that could be rolling by winning six out of seven(or more).  Charlotte will be three days removed from a trip to Washington D.C. while Richmond will have been resting for a week after hosting St. Bonaventure.  This Kevin Anderson led squad has a chance to be the first time EVER, other than the 49ers, to win four in a row at Halton Arena. George Washington is only other team to win three in a row in 2003, 2006 and 2007.  The 49ers will need to impose their will and force the tempo to take down the Spiders in this one.

Wednesday March 2nd- at Xavier(8-4): Considering that nobody other than Xavier wins in the Cintas Center, don’t count on the Niners coming back with a victory.  In Xavier’s 4 previous games they have easy wins at Saint Joseph’s then at home against Fordham and La Salle before traveling to Dayton.  The Flyers will push the Musketeers to the edge, with any luck Charlotte will be facing a tired AND demoralized Xavier team.

Saturday March 5th- vs. Saint Joseph’s(5-8): Due to slight changes in Atlantic 10 opponents, we get to host a pitiful Saint Joseph’s team at home two years in a row.  Since starting conference play in 2009 at 7-1, Phil Martelli’s Hawks have suffered a Niner-esque 3-7 collapse followed by an 11-20 season and a not-so-hot start to this season.  Saint Joseph’s will struggle to gain any momentum throughout conference play(as in absolutely NONE), and will be coming to Halton Arena after hosting Richmond.  The Hawks may have already turned their TV’s on to watch the Atlantic 10 Tournament from home before taking the flight down from Philly, while the Niners will be looking for a impressive showing leading up to the A10 Tourney where, of course, they will go 4-0 on their way to the NCAA’s.

Once again, George Washington is terrible, and their home court won’t help them. Richmond, at home, before traveling to Xavier will be a test for the Niners, although this could be the year Charlotte’s defense can shut down Kevin Anderson but the Cintas Center is never an easy place to play.  Remember how when the ground was falling out from underneath the Lutz era and we still beat Saint Joeseph’s by 37 points? 49erFanatics 4th-quarter prediction: 3-1

Here’s the best part, you don’t have to know math to figure out Green Tinted Glasses’(very biased)  A10 Prediction for the 49ers, it’s 9-7.  After extensively going over the rest of the Atlantic 10 calender, here are a predicted order of finish along with predicted record, overall in parenthesis only counting D-I games.

Green Tinted Glasses Atlantic 10 Projection:

Coach Major has a chance to make some noise in his 1st A10 Season1. Temple 14-2(23-4)

1. Temple 14-2(24-6)
2. Richmond 13-3(24-7)
3. Xavier 12-4(20-10)
4. Rhode Island 11-5(20-10)
5. Dayton 10-6(22-9)
6. Charlotte 9-7(17-13)
7. St. Bonaventure 8-8(15-14)
8.  Massachusetts 8-8(15-13)
9. Duquesne 6-10(13-15)
10. Saint Louis 6-10(11-18)
11. La Salle 5-11(13-18)
12. George Washington 4-12(11-18)
13. Fordham 3-13(9-19)
13. Saint Joseph’s 3-13(8-22)

Green Tinted Glasses Presents: Atlantic 10 Schedule Breakdown Part I

As members of THE Niner Nation, we’ve been relying on the use of Green Tinted Glasses since the very first buzzer sounded to end the Gardner-Webb game.  However, a new season starts with conference play.  An at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament has been a pipe dream since the Charleston Classic, but we are a very different and much improved team from the one that walked off the court after playing two overtimes against Coastal Carolina to no avail. Since then Shamari Spears was removed from the roster, the Hornet’s Trophy was lost and Charlotte helped send the 7^th ranked team in the nation into a tailspin.  With Charlotte’s 4-game win streak, including 2 BCS scalps, the Green Tinted Glasses can be taken off and the 49ers momentum going into A10 play is still very visible.

The Atlantic 10 is having a… different year, to say the least.  Temple is still the class of the league, Richmond and Xavier have  some questionable losses, but they did last year too.  Dayton has loaded up on home-wins over scrubs,  Rhode Island nearly knocked off Pitt in their season opener, Saint Louis has struggled as you would expect a team too after sitting 2 great players, while Massachusetts came back to earth quickly from their quick start.  The rest of the Atlantic 10 teams aren’t setting the world on fire unless you consider Fordham getting more than 3 wins an explosion.  But their are a lot of questionable losses considering how strong the conference looked going into the season.

Let’s break this 16 game slate down into quarters, equal quarters no less, of…4 games apiece. The Atlantic 10 season is broken down into 18 “mini-weeks” of a Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday or Saturday-Sunday combination, each team receiving two byes, some of which are used for non-conference games.

Niner Nightmare: 2010 A10 POY Kevin Anderson

Quarter 1

Wednesday January 5th- at Richmond(11-4): The Spiders come into conference play looking vulnerable , dropping a contest to Georgia Tech by 13-points in the Bahamas, and a stunning 1-pt loss at home to Bucknell on Sunday. Richmond has one of the Atlantic 10′s three wins over Top 10 ranked teams, with an 11 point win over then  #8 Purdue in the Chicago Invitational final.  Also among their strong wins are a road wins at Arizona State and  Seton Hall as well as a home win over CAA contender VCU.  The other 2 losses come on the road at another CAA contender, Old Dominion, and at the early MAAC favorite, Iona.

Saturday January 8th- at St. Bonaventure(7-5): Charlotte will be the A10 home opener for the second time in four days when they travel to Olean to face St. Bonaventure.  The Bonnies have gotten out to an above average start, by St. Bonaventure standards, highlighted by a road win against the Steve Lavin’s Saint John’s squad.  Andrew Nicholson has been downright dominate so far, and will be a real test inside for Phil Jones and Chris Braswell.  The Bonnies still dropped a couple of questionable decisions on the road to Canisius and at home to Niagara.

Wednesday January 12th- Atlantic 10 Bye

Saturday January 15th- vs. Fordham(6-6): For a team that was only able to muster five wins TOTAL in the last two seasons, the only thing to say about the Rams is For-DAAAAAAAAAAMN.  Most of these wins are fluff wins, although games they would have dropped the last two seasons, but Tom Pecora was also able to lead his team to a win over Saint John’s at home.  The Fordham Rams will still be a welcome sight for the 49ers who could lose a lot of the momentum from non-conference play by playing two on the road to open Atlantic 10 play.

Wednesday January 19th- vs. Massachusetts(8-5): The Minutemen come to Halton Arena to close out our two game road stand, and hopefully Coach Major’s game plan only involves using only 5 players at a time to beat them.  Massachusetts got off to a 7-0 start, included a non-D1 game, before crashing down with four straight losses.  None of their wins have much strength and the losses at home to Maine and a shellacking at the hand of Central Connecticut State to close the non-conference schedule show that the Minutemen are far from contenders.

The Niners will have to battle if they want to steal a road win or two to open up the A10 season.  A win at Richmond might be too much to ask for, and Olean provides a much tougher environment than Georgia Tech’s Thrillerdome.   The team absolutely must take their first 2 home games, which they will easily. 49erFanatics 1st-quarter prediction: 2-2

Quarter 2

Saturday January 22nd- at Duquesne(7-5): The Niners will go on the road to face a Dukes team that has so far gone 6-5 against D1 competition, with 2 non-conference games yet to play.   Duquesne’s record lacks any type of a signature win, their best performance being a moral victory in losing by 3 at home to West Virginia.

Tu Holloway(aka The Artist Formerly Known as Terrell Holloway) has filled a majority of the hole left by Jordan Crawfor

Wednesday January 26th- at Temple(9-3): The Owls are back to their old tricks again, having only dropped 3 of their non-conference games to date with matches against Penn and Duke forthcoming.  Temple has collected 4 BCS scalps so far, included another one of the A10′s 3 Top-10 wins at home against then #10 Georgetown.  They Owls came close to getting a second Top 10 win at Villanova, but the Wildcats finished strong.  None of their losses are horrible, the worst being to Cal, and they are expected to be one of the teams who run away with the conference this season, and will in all likeliness run away with this game.

Saturday January 29th- vs. La Salle(Operation La Sellout)(7-7): The Explorers come into conference play with a .500 record against an okay schedule, back-loaded with losses.  La Salle will be desperate to create momentum in A10 play, which could be difficult as they start on the road at George Washington before hosting Richmond.  This will be a must-win game for Charlotte, as they will need to take care of all the mid/low-level A10 teams at home to have a decent seeding for the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

Wednesday February 2nd- vs. Xavier(Whiteout)(8-4): Chris Mack’s Musketeers will becoming into Halton Arena just a few days after a trip to Richmond, which will be a tough out, so the Niners might have a shot at Xavier while they are down, which worked to our favor a couple of years ago.  Xavier’s best non-conference win was over 2010 National Finalist Butler in the confines of the Cintas Center, a rematch of the infamous “stopwatch game” of a year before.  Xavier did drop one to Miami U on the road, but have taken care of everyone else they should have on their schedule.  The Musketeers play Cincinnati on Thursday before beginning A10 play.

The only one of this bunch that is out of reach would be the game at Temple.  The Niners are capable of beating this Duquesne team on the road and a Xavier team that has struggled when leaving the confines of the Cintas Center. I would not be surprised if this team won one of those, but 2 is a stretch. The Explorers shouldn’t have a chance with Operation La Sellout in effect at Halton Arena. 49erFanatics 2nd-quarter prediction: 2-2

Check out Part II tomorrow for 3rd and 4th quarter breakdowns as well as an official(and biased) Green Tinted Glasses prediction of the Atlantic 10 standings.